Phi Edge uses AI to predict who will win
Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
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ABF won
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Match insights
Falcons hold their nerve for an 8-run win
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons set 183/4 and Trinbago Knight Riders could only reach 175/7. Early wickets meant the Falcons were always on top of the game throughout the second innings and kept TKR at arms length. The main threat to their total during the chase was the possibility of a sudden explosion with the bat from Pollard, but they did extremely well to ensure that was not possible. TKR hit 11 sixes to the Falcons' 7, but Antigua & Barbuda Falcons answered with 19 fours. It was this consistent boundary hitting that got them to a total too large for TKR to chase.
Cornwall and Nawaz swing it for Antigua & Barbuda Falcons
Cornwall’s 87 impact came from his work with both bat and ball, with 20 off 7 and 3 wickets for 17, an impressive all-round performance that changed the game. Nawaz backed it with 76 off 48 and an 85 impact, his +35 standout underlining the difference. Together they gave Antigua & Barbuda Falcons the decisive edge when it mattered most.
Match impact vs recent form
This match score (0-100) vs their recent-form average over the card's look-back window.
Khan slows Pollard as TKR chase tightens
Pollard’s strike rate sits at 131 against Khan, below his 151 career batting SR. There is a lot of pressure on Pollard in this chase so bringing on a bowler who has had success against him could prove a wise move from the Falcons.
Pollard's strike rate · per 100 balls
Khan keeps Pollard's batting strike rate below Pollard's career mark.
Seales leaked 19 and TKR have the chase moving
Jayden Seales was expensive in Over 3, conceding 19 as Trinbago Knight Riders jumped from 20/2 to 39/2. With 183 to chase and 3 overs gone, that burst of 4, 4 and 6 has given TKR a much-needed lift after a quiet start, and it has dragged the required rate back into a more manageable shape.
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
Munro reaches 12500 career T20 runs
Munro brings up 12500 career T20 runs — a career landmark reached mid-match, this game's 14 runs taking them there.
Munro has Seales’ number early
Trinbago Knight Riders are chasing 183, and Munro has struck at 169 against Seales, well above his 140 career batting SR. That kind of mismatch at the beginning of the innings is exactly the sort of early edge that can tilt a chase before it settles.
Munro's strike rate · per 100 balls
Seales keeps Munro's batting strike rate below Munro's career mark.
Hinds hammered for 20 as ABF push on
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons turned over at 133/3 and came out at 153/3 after Over 17, with Hinds taking the hit. Two sixes and a four in the 20-run burst lifted the tempo and the Falcons will hope to keep up this rate for the remainder of the innings.
This over · runs
Well clear of Antigua & Barbuda Falcons's current run rate.
Nawaz brings up 50 as Falcons push on
Hasan Nawaz has given Antigua & Barbuda Falcons a solid lift, reaching 52 off 36 balls with 1 six and 7 fours in their 141/3 at 16.3 overs. They need more runs from him at the death to pile the pressure onto TKR.
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons cash in a big over
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons took 17 off Greaves's over 14. That over swings the momentum in a hurry. It swung the score from 95/3 to 112/3 in 7 balls.
This over · runs
Well clear of Antigua & Barbuda Falcons's current run rate.
Hosein has Nawaz in check
With Antigua & Barbuda Falcons at 60/2 after 8 overs, Akeal Hosein has kept Najibullah Nawaz quieter than his usual pace. Nawaz’s 81 against Hosein sits well below his 140 career strike rate, and that kind of hold can blunt a first-innings push. Trinbago Knight Riders have forced the Falcons into patience.
Nawaz's strike rate · per 100 balls
Hosein keeps Nawaz's batting strike rate below Nawaz's career mark.
Falcons strike early with a 17-run opening over
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons wasted no time, racing from 0/0 to 17/0 in Over 1. Hosein was put under pressure with 4 fours in the over, with Rakheem Cornwall doing the damage through the off side.
This over · runs
Well clear of Antigua & Barbuda Falcons's current run rate.
Pooran and Lewis are the danger men
Trinbago Knight Riders have Pooran striking at 215.38 in the death, while Antigua and Barbuda Falcons get Lewis at 184.36 in the middle. Narine’s 179.22 in the powerplay and Cornwall’s 166.28 through the middle mean both sides carry a real burst threat in different phases.
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
Narine has Allen’s number
Allen’s strike rate drops to 74 against Narine, a long way from his 142 career mark. Across 27 balls, that is a matchup Trinbago Knight Riders will love and Antigua and Barbuda Falcons will want to solve early. If Allen cannot lift that rate, Narine can choke the innings as soon as Allen comes in.
Allen's strike rate · per 100 balls
Narine keeps Allen's batting strike rate below Allen's career mark.
Narine has Lewis well below his usual tempo
Lewis strikes at 88 against Narine, a long way off his 147 career batting SR. Across 96 balls, a huge sample, the Trinbago Knight Riders bowler has made the Antigua and Barbuda Falcons batter work for every extra run. This matchup is one to keep a close eye on!
Lewis's strike rate · per 100 balls
Narine keeps Lewis's batting strike rate below Lewis's career mark.
Ali is two sixes from 450 T20 sixes
Ali comes in needing just 2 more to reach 450 career T20 sixes, a neat marker in a format built on clean hitting. For Antigua & Barbuda Falcons, that kind of strike power could be the difference in TKR v ABF tonight.
Hales needs 3 more sixes to reach 50
Hales arrives for Trinbago Knight Riders needing just 3 more CPL sixes to bring up 50. During his long career he's been known for clearing the ropes all around the world, so 50 CPL 6s would just add to his worldwide reputation.
Narine needs 10 to reach 5000 T20 runs
Trinbago Knight Riders have Narine on the brink of a major mark, with just 10 more runs taking him to 5000 career T20 runs. This really would be a milestone worthy of an all-round T20 legend.
Pooran leads TKR's top-watch list
Pooran arrives with 284 runs in his last 10 at a strike rate of 165, the clearest batting threat in this T20. Narine also bring his well-known threat with 13 wickets at an economy of 5.55, while Pollard adds 270 runs and 9 wickets. For Antigua and Barbuda Falcons, James offers control with 9 wickets and an economy of 6.64, but TKR hold the sharper edge with the stronger impact scores.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
ABF hold the edge before TKR meet again
Antigua and Barbuda Falcons arrive with 4 wins from 6 against Trinbago Knight Riders, so the matchup leans marginally their way before a ball is bowled. They have played against each other once already this year, and it was Shadab Khan who won that one for the Falcons. Both teams will be aware of the advantage the Falcons hold, but Trinbago will be doing everything in their power to overturn this imbalance and get some vital points on the board.
TKR start faster
Trinbago Knight Riders have the edge in the opening phase , scoring 9.3 in the Powerplay and 7.96 through the middle, while Antigua and Barbuda Falcons sit at 7.65 and 7.12. Known for their fast starts, we have seen Narine promoted up the order for Trinbago this year to take advantage of the early fielding restrictions and enforce their dominance in the powerplay. Falcons do have heat of their own waiting in the wings, in the form of Rakheem Cornwall, if they wish to improve their first phase scoring rates, so it will be interesting to see if they turn to their power hitter tonight.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
TKR's last chance at Queen’s Park Oval
At Queen’s Park Oval, 152 is the average first innings and anything over this has been defended 78% of the time. So, it seems clear that with a solid first innings total, chasing down scores here is no easy feat. This is the final game of CPL 2026 being played in Trinidad, so TKR will be even more eager to get the victory and give their fans lasting happy memories of this phase of the tournament.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Queen's Park Oval
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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