Phi Edge uses AI to predict who will win
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SKNP won
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Match insights
Patriots finish with a 64-run surge
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots turned 171/4 into 235/4 in overs 18–20, piling on 64 runs in 18 balls. That late burst against St Lucia Kings changed the whole shape of the innings and left the Patriots firmly in control of the game having set a huge total.
Patriots overwhelm Kings by 137 runs
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots made 235/4, then St Lucia Kings were never close to matching it at 98 all out. The Patriots struck at 11.8 an over and had 74% of their runs in boundaries, while the Kings managed only one six. That was the match: a huge total set, and then a non-contest in the second innings as the Kings feebly collapsed.
Shanaka and Louis decide it for St Kitts and Nevis Patriots
Shanaka smashed 121 off 43 with an impact score of 100, while Louis ripped through with 5 wickets for 10 and an impact score of 100. Shanaka’s standout +38 came against a 10-match form line of 62, and Louis lifted a 7-match average impact of 36 with standout +64. Those two performances are some of the more astonishing you will see and carried the Patriots to not only a win, but a win by such a significant margin that it could well have great effect on their net run rate.
Match impact vs recent form
This match score (0-100) vs their recent-form average over the card's look-back window.
St Lucia Kings lose 3 wickets in 10 balls
St Lucia Kings have been rocked from 74/4 to 82/7 in Overs 10-11, with Jeremiah Louis striking twice in the space of one over before Ashmead Nedd finished the job. It has gone from bad to worse for the Kings and the writing looks like it is on the wall now as they spiral towards defeat.
Seifert reaches 50
Tim Seifert’s 50 off 35 balls, with 8 fours, has been a lone hand out there for SLK, and unfortunately for him it looks like it won't be nearly enough for his team tonight.
Holder has Seifert below his usual pace
St Lucia Kings are chasing 235, but Seifert’s 114 strike rate against Holder sits well under his 140 career strike rate, and that is enough to make the early mood feel sticky at 2/1. Holder has already forced a check on the chase, and with only 1 over gone, St Kitts and Nevis Patriots have the first grip on this reply.
Seifert's strike rate · per 100 balls
Holder keeps Seifert's batting strike rate below Seifert's career mark.
Seifert starts at 225 against Nedd
St Lucia Kings are chasing 235, and Seifert’s 225 strike rate against Nedd jumps well above his 140 career batting SR. With only 16 balls in that matchup, it is only an early signal but, it could be just what SLK need.
Seifert's strike rate · per 100 balls
Nedd keeps Seifert's batting strike rate below Seifert's career mark.
Shanaka, 100 off 39
100 for Shanaka! It is not just any 100, it is the fastest 100 in the history of the CPL. What a knock! It has been mesmerising and the bowlers will be hurting.
Theekshana taken for 20 as SKNP surge to 189/4
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots found the perfect finish at Over 18, with Theekshana conceding 20 and the score jumping from 169/4 to 189/4. Two sixes and a four in the over turned a solid platform into a far more dangerous total. Shanaka is still in and on a roll!
This over · runs
Well clear of St Kitts and Nevis Patriots's current run rate.
Shanaka brings up 50 in a Patriots push
Dasun Shanaka has reached 50 off 24 balls, and 53 with 4 sixes and 5 fours has given St Kitts and Nevis Patriots real momentum at 162/4 in 16.2 overs. He is firmly set and striking it well, so his team need him to face as many deliveries as possible in the remainder of the first innings.
Shanaka brings up 350 T20 sixes
Shanaka has reached 350 sixes in career T20 cricket, with 2 this match for St Kitts & Nevis Patriots. He is such a powerful player and is in fantastic form, form that should worry the Kings.
Fletcher reaches 50 in 23 balls
Andre Fletcher has given St Kitts and Nevis Patriots a flying start at 75/1 in 7.1 overs, bringing up 50 off 23 balls with 4 sixes and 5 fours. With 51 already to his name, he has turned the first innings into a statement, and SLK are under pressure to find a way back.
Theekshana pays for one loose over
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots turned 26/1 into 45/1 in Over 5, and Theekshana was the one who felt it. A 19-run burst, with 3 fours and 1 six, has put SKNP on top. Fletcher is hunting for boundaries out there and looks in a brutal mood.
This over · runs
Well clear of St Kitts and Nevis Patriots's current run rate.
Forde pays for one loose over
Matthew Forde’s over flipped the mood for St Kitts and Nevis Patriots, with 16 coming off it after they had been 10/1. A six and a four in the same over pushed them to 26/1 after 4 overs, and that burst has quickly given the innings some much needed momentum against St Lucia Kings.
This over · runs
Well clear of St Kitts and Nevis Patriots's current run rate.
Forde has Fletcher below his usual pace
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots are 10/1 after 3 overs, and Fletcher’s 107 against Forde sits well under his 126 career batting SR. SLK are looking to put the squeeze on early.
Fletcher's strike rate · per 100 balls
Forde keeps Fletcher's batting strike rate below Fletcher's career mark.
Death overs could swing SKNP v SLK
Fletcher’s 238.1 at the death makes St Kitts and Nevis Patriots the side with the sharpest late-overs threat, while Shanaka’s 205.99 in the same phase adds another burst option. We have seen both of these batter finish innings in style recently. St Lucia Kings counter with Seifert’s 161.34 through the middle and Forde’s 171.72 at the death. Warner Park should suit these powerful players, so watch out for how often they can clear the rope.
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
Hasaranga has raced at Theekshana
Hasaranga's strike rate jumps to 228 against Theekshana, well above his 142 career batting SR. This is extremely rare against a bowler who has had so much success across the t20 circuit. But, Theekshana has not had the same grip on him.
Silva's strike rate · per 100 balls
Theekshana keeps Silva's batting strike rate below Silva's career mark.
Bishop has Fletcher well below his usual tempo
Fletcher’s strike rate drops to 62 against Bishop, a sharp fall from his 126 career batting SR. Across 37 balls, Bishop has clearly found a way to slow him down, and that kind of hold can matter, especially as Fletcher was seeing them fantastically well last time out.
Fletcher's strike rate · per 100 balls
Bishop keeps Fletcher's batting strike rate below Fletcher's career mark.
Shanaka needs 2 more sixes for 350
Shanaka arrives with 348 career T20 sixes, just 2 shy of 350. He has been clearing the rope with ease this CPL, so it would be no surprise to see him reach this milestone tonight.
Stars on Show
Seifert arrives with 404 runs at a strike rate of 157 in his last 10 games, and the highest impact score at 91, while Holder brings 24 wickets and an impact score of 85 for St Kitts and Nevis Patriots. Asalanka adds 304 runs and 5 wickets for St Lucia Kings, and Shanaka’s 196 strike rate gives the Patriots another fast-scoring threat. The match may turn on which side’s standout can step up and dominate the fixture.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
SLK hold the edge in a 21-game rivalry
St Lucia Kings arrive with the better of this matchup, leading 13-8 across 21 meetings. However, SKNP arrive high on confidence after their victory against Barbados Tridents and will be looking to put together a run of wins in the vital period of the season.
St Lucia Kings edge the early and middle overs
Across the last 10 matches, St Lucia Kings have been marginally better in the Powerplay at 8.26 and the middle at 8.25, while St Kitts and Nevis Patriots sit just behind at 8.03 and 7.95. But the Patriots lift to 10.35 at the death, ahead of 9.32, largely due to the power hitting of Hasaranga, Shanaka, and Holder. If it's tight towards the end of the game, SKNP will have the edge.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
Warner Park means big scores
At Warner Park, 181 is the average first innings. The chase has worked 60% of the time, and the run rate at the death jumps to 11.32. The ground is conducive to huge scores, so it could be a boundary fest - keep your eyes on this one!
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Warner Park
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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