Phi Edge uses AI to predict who will win
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SKNP won
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Match insights
Patriots edge 217 in a 220-run finish
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots got over the line by 6 wickets after Barbados Tridents set 217/4. At the halfway stage, it looked like the Barbados Tridents, fuelled by a QDK century, would have more than enough runs on the board to take home the points. However, Charles and many supporting Patriots batsmen fought back and pulled off a sensational win. SKNP will hope this win can jumpstart them into form and begin a run of positive results.
De Kock’s 106 set the tone, Charles answered with 78
De Kock turned the contest with 106 off 57, a strike rate of 185.96 and an impact score of 88 that sat 43 above his recent mark. Charles replied with 78 off 45 at 173.33, impact score 78 and +32 on his form. They were undoubtedly the stars of the match, and despite De Kock adding yet another T20 century to his name, it was Charles' knock that proved match winning and he will therefore be the happier of the two leaving Warner Park tonight.
Match impact vs recent form
This match score (0-100) vs their recent-form average over the card's look-back window.
Fletcher speeds up at the right time
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots are chasing 217 and already 202/4 after 18 overs, so Fletcher’s 171 strike rate against Simmonds lands as a clear shift from his 125 career mark. With Daniel Sams replaced, the pressure has moved to Barbados Tridents at the death, and this change could decide whether the chase succeeds or fails.
Fletcher's strike rate · per 100 balls
Simmonds keeps Fletcher's batting strike rate below Fletcher's career mark.
Charles has Motie on the back foot
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots are 117/1 in 11 overs while chasing 217, and Charles has lifted his strike rate to 156 against Motie, well above his 134 career mark. That kind of tempo at this stage keeps the chase moving hard and leaves Barbados Tridents needing a quick answer before the game swings into the Patriots' favour.
Charles's strike rate · per 100 balls
Motie keeps Charles's batting strike rate below Charles's career mark.
Charles brings up fifty in the chase
Johnson Charles has put St Kitts and Nevis Patriots right in the hunt, reaching 52 off 29 balls with 4 sixes and 4 fours as they chase 217. At 84/0 in 8.4 overs, his 50 has given the chase a chance and kept the pressure on BT.
Rahman has Mayers in trouble
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots are chasing 217 at 48/0 after 4 overs, but Mayers has only struck at 38 against Rahman, well below his 135 career batting SR. That kind of squeeze from Barbados Tridents at the start of the chase is exactly how pressure builds, even with wickets still untouched.
Mayers's strike rate · per 100 balls
Rahman keeps Mayers's batting strike rate below Mayers's career mark.
Patriots turn Over 3 into a 16-run release
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots were 12/0 before Green was taken apart for 16 in Over 3, with two sixes and a four in the last three balls. More needed from where that came from for the Patriots!
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
Charles reaches 8500 T20 runs
Charles has brought up 8500 career T20 runs in this live CPL meeting, with St Kitts & Nevis Patriots on 16 runs this match. It is a neat marker of longevity, and they will need all his experience to get them close to the Tridents' huge total.
Green reaches 500 CPL runs
Green has ticked past 500 runs in the CPL, with 18 runs this match carrying him to the mark. The BT skipper has added some very handy late runs for his team
Kock brings up a rapid 100 for Barbados Tridents
A huge knock from Quinton de Kock! His 100 carried the Tridents into a very strong position and it took a phenomenal catch from Bidasee to get rid of him in the end.
Rutherford has Holder in his sights
Barbados Tridents are 122/2 after 13 overs, and Rutherford’s strike rate against Holder sits at 170, well above his 144 career mark. For St Kitts and Nevis Patriots, the change to Holder is risky against a batter who seems to have his number, but the skipper needs the wicket of the Tridents' star batsmen.
Rutherford's strike rate · per 100 balls
Holder keeps Rutherford's batting strike rate below Rutherford's career mark.
De Kock brings up 50 as Barbados Tridents move to 104/1
Quinton de Kock has given Barbados Tridents the kind of start that sets a total up nicely, reaching 50 off 31 balls with 2 sixes and 6 fours. At 104/1 in 11.2 overs, the first innings has real momentum, and this half-century puts the platform firmly in place for a stronger finish. He is definitely the senior partner when out there with Carter, but both of them are motoring at the moment.
Carter brings up a rapid 50 for Barbados Tridents
Barbados Tridents are 101/1 after 10.4 overs, and Carter has driven the innings with a 50 off 30 balls. Six sixes and 1 four tell the shape of it: this has been about clean hitting, not patient accumulation. It is his maiden CPL half-century, and he will be hoping the fun doesn't stop there tonight.
Barbados Tridents turn Over 8 into a 20-run burst
Barbados Tridents have seized the moment at 79/1 after 8 overs, and Salamkheil was taken apart for 20 in Over 8. It was Carter again with two huge sixes, and then De Kock joined in with a maximum of his own. Those three sixes in six balls flipped 59/1 to 79/1, with the scoring rate now sitting above the 9.88. Things are looking ominous for SKNP.
This over · runs
Well clear of Barbados Tridents's current run rate.
Barbados Tridents break loose in Over 6
Jeremiah Louis was taken for 18 in Over 6, and Barbados Tridents moved from 35/1 to 53/1 with 2 sixes and a four in the over. Zachary Carter really flexed his muscles that over, demonstrating his power with some enormous maximums. That burst has lifted the scoring rate to 8.8, turning a steady start into a very nice platform to accelerate even further from.
This over · runs
Well clear of Barbados Tridents's current run rate.
De Kock reaches 1000 CPL runs
De Kock has brought up 1000 runs in the CPL, with 11 runs sofar this match taking him from 989 to the milestone. For Barbados Tridents, he is a vital part of their top order, and they will need runs from him tonight in this crucial game.
Power at the Death
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots have the two men most likely to flip the game late, with Fletcher striking at 219.51 and Shanaka at 209.36 in the death. Barbados Tridents have Kock at 170.89 through the middle, and we all know the danger he can present once he gets set.
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
De Kock has Holder’s number
QDK’s strike rate jumps to 202 against Jason Holder, well above his 141 career batting strike rate, and that is a serious warning for St Kitts and Nevis Patriots. Across 63 balls, Holder has not found the grip over De Kock that he has displayed over so many batters during his career. If Barbados Tridents lean on that matchup, it could tilt the pace of the innings fast.
Kock's strike rate · per 100 balls
Holder keeps Kock's batting strike rate below Kock's career mark.
Mayers has De Kock well below his usual tempo
QDK’s strike rate sits at 100 against Kyle Mayers, a clear drop from his 141 career batting SR. Perhaps Mayers could be the surprise package tonight to stop the mesmerising De Kock.
Kock's strike rate · per 100 balls
Mayers keeps Kock's batting strike rate below Kock's career mark.
Charles is 6 away from 8500 T20 runs
St Kitts & Nevis Patriots will have Charles, a veteran of the T20 scene, with 6 more runs needed to reach 8500 career T20 runs. Charles needs to find form, and perhaps a milestone like this can spur him onwards in this competition.
Shanaka and Sams arrive with form
Shanaka arrives with 242 runs in his last 10 games, at a strike rate of 189 and an impact score of 90, the kind of batting that can change a T20 in a flash. Barbados Tridents have answers too, with Sams taking 15 wickets and Rutherford scoring 259 runs, while Holder’s 23 wickets and impact score of 80 keep St Kitts and Nevis Patriots right in the contest.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
SKNP lead BT 12-9 in a tight CPL rivalry
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots have the edge in this one, 12 wins to 9 across 21 meetings, so Barbados Tridents arrive with a narrow gap to close. This is the first time in this edition of the CPL that these two sides will face each other, and the Patriots will, therefore, be looking to lean on their edge in the historic rivalry as they have very little form to build from.
Barbados Tridents excel at the finish compared to St Kitts and Nevis Patriots
Across the last 10 matches, Barbados Tridents have kept pace early at 7.58 and 7.49, then surged to 11.28 at the death. St Kitts and Nevis Patriots have a similar rhythm through the powerplay and middle overs, but their 9.48 at the end does not match the late burst of the Tridents. If the Tridents can keep finding the boundary in the death overs they may be able to use this advantage to separate themselves from tonight's opposition.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
What this venue rewards
Warner Park has produced 180 on average in the first innings of T20 games across the last 30 matches. With chase success at 60 percent you could be led into believing the advantage lies with whoever gets to bowl first. However, once teams score anything over par at Warner Park, they have been successful in their defence 67% of the time. The last fixture at this ground was a washout just a couple of days ago. Players, fans, and spectators alike will be hoping the weather holds off tonight and a good game of cricket ensues.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Warner Park
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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