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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Trinbago Knight Riders were held to 126/8, which proved nowhere near enough to exert sufficient pressure on the in-form Warriors batting unit, who chased it down very comfortably.
With Guyana Amazon Warriors chasing 126 at 79/2 after 12 overs, Sunil Narine has kept Shimron Hetmyer to a strike rate of 100 against his career 147. It's now or never for TKR and that is why they have turned to their strike bowler.
Hetmyer's strike rate · per 100 balls
Narine keeps Hetmyer's batting strike rate below Hetmyer's career mark.
Hope has crossed 2500 runs in the CPL.
Shai Hope has brought up 6000 runs in career T20s. He now needs to lead his team home, setting the tempo, keeping his wicket, and allowing the power hitters to do real damage from the other end.
Guyana Amazon Warriors are chasing 126 at 25/1 after 5 overs, and Akeal Hosein has made Shai Hope work at 88 per 100 balls, well under his 131 career batting SR. Can this create some pressure?
Hope's strike rate · per 100 balls
Hosein keeps Hope's batting strike rate below Hope's career mark.
Guyana Amazon Warriors are chasing 126, and Phillips has scored at 113 against Narine, below his 141 career batting SR. That slow rate could put kuch needed pressure on GAW early.
Phillips's strike rate · per 100 balls
Narine keeps Phillips's batting strike rate below Phillips's career mark.
Narine has ticked off 5000 runs with the 7 he has added for Trinbago Knight Riders in this match. But, 7 is all it will be for Narine this match as he swiftly gifts another wicket to Mehidy. TKR are now in all sorts of trouble!
Trinbago Knight Riders are 74/4 after 13 overs, and Narine’s strike rate of 121 against Tahir sits well below his 150 career mark. That slowdown matters with wickets already falling, because every quiet over tightens the squeeze on a total still being set.
Narine's strike rate · per 100 balls
Tahir keeps Narine's batting strike rate below Narine's career mark.
Pooran’s 217.82 at the death and Phillips’ 191.04 in the same phase point to a finish where the last overs may matter most. Sampson brings a different threat with 184.85 in the middle, while Narine’s 163.64 in the powerplay gives TKR an early edge. With both sides carrying phase-specific firepower, this match could swing, and swing quickly, at any moment.
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
Hales’s strike rate sits at 100 against Shepherd, well below his career batting SR of 146. The Warriors could turn to Shepherd early to exploit this matchup as Hales is set to come out to open the batting in the first innings.
Hales's strike rate · per 100 balls
Shepherd keeps Hales's batting strike rate below Hales's career mark.
Pooran’s strike rate jumps to 188 against Pretorius, well above his 149 career batting SR, and that is a serious warning for Guyana Amazon Warriors. Across 68 balls, a large sample size, the Trinbago Knight Riders batter has found a gear here that sits far above his usual level. It will be interesting to see if Pooran comes in early to get the better of Pretorius, who has predominantly bowled inside the powerplay during this tournament.
Pooran's strike rate · per 100 balls
Pretorius keeps Pooran's batting strike rate below Pooran's career mark.
Trinbago Knight Riders have Hales within touching distance of a six-hitting milestone, with 47 CPL sixes already in the bank and only 3 more needed for 50. Opening the batting tonight, Hales needs to produce some fireworks to help his team out of their slump.
Hope goes in with 5994 career T20 runs and only 6 more needed to reach 6000. Although known more for his prowess in 50 over cricket, Hope has built up a very impressive stack of runs in the shortest format.
Trinbago Knight Riders have Narine standing on 4993 career T20 runs, just 7 short of 5000. He won't open the batting tonight, but we could see some lower middle order boundary hitting later in the innings.
Trinbago Knight Riders have Pollard on the edge of a landmark, with just 11 needed to reach 15000 career T20 runs. This would be an absolutely sensational achievement for a legend of the T20 game. Tonight could well be his last as a T20 cricketer, so if you are watching along, soak it in, and cross your fingers he gets the 11 he needs for 15000.
Guyana Amazon Warriors will be watching Hope closely tonight, with 2487 CPL runs already in the bank and just 13 more needed to reach 2500.
Trinbago Knight Riders’ da Silva comes in 25 short of 500 CPL runs, with 475 already banked. Batting down the order for TKR he likely won't have a huge amount of time in the middle tonight, so he needs to make the most of it to get to this milestone.
Trinbago Knight Riders bring Pooran, with 363 runs at a strike rate of 170 in his last 10 games, and Pollard, on 317 runs and an impact score of 90. Guyana Amazon Warriors counter with Tahir, whose 17 wickets, including his stunnings fifer the other night, and 6.42 economy give him an impact score of 93. Narine adds 14 wickets for Trinbago Knight Riders, so this looks set up for a contest between some of the game's most recognised and experienced names.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
Trinbago Knight Riders come in with 18 wins to Guyana Amazon Warriors’ 15 across 34 meetings. In the last meeting between the two sides, the Warriors won in a shortened contest. Historically, this has been the biggest rivalry in the CPL as both of these sides have excellent records, however, TKR have had an extremely disappointing season this year and cannot mathematically qualify for the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Warriors have experienced the opposite fate and have guaranteed first position, still with two games remaining. So, while this game does not have any bearing on where these sides will finish, GAW will want to keep their strong form going before the most important games of the season and TKR will be looking to regain some pride after some pitiful performances this year.
Guyana Amazon Warriors have been thrilling to watch with the bat at the death this season, lifting their run rate to 10.96 compared with Trinbago Knight Riders’ 8.97. TKR edge the Powerplay at 8.84 to 8.16, in no small part due to their deployment of pinch-hitters at the top like Narine, but the middle overs are almost level at 7.93 and 7.88. If this one goes deep, the finish looks like Guyana Amazon Warriors’ stronger suit.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
Providence has seen 156 as the average opening total and 157+ being defended 71% of the time, showing that scores above par have proved very difficult to chase in the second innings. Although the pitch at Providence looked a little different, and certainly greener, coming into this season, it has largely played the same as in previous years, with low bounce and significant turn being the primary features. This has brought spinners to the forefront, with captains reacting to the surface and predominantly bowling spin options at this ground, and some very low scores and batting collapses. Whoever is able to handle the spin tonight will put themselves in with a great chance of winning the game.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Providence Stadium
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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