Phi Edge uses AI to predict who will win
Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
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GAW won
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Match insights
Guyana Amazon Warriors strike as Patriots lose three in six overs
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots went from 21/0 to 39/3 in overs 3-6, and that swing handed Guyana Amazon Warriors the match’s first real grip. Three wickets in 18 balls turned a steady start into a collapse, and the pressure from there was firmly on the Patriots to recover; they never managed that recovery.
Warriors finish the job after Patriots fold for 128
Guyana Amazon Warriors made 3 easy work of the chase. The win puts them, once again, in the playoffs and with plenty of games to spare. Their challenge now will be keeping rhythm in all of their players until the playoffs arrive.
Nabi and Athanaze decide it with bat and ball
Nabi’s 4 wickets for 17 and 25 runs put the Warriors in control of this game, while Athanaze answered with 52 off 39 for St Kitts and Nevis Patriots. Unfortunately for Atahanze, he was the only member of his team to put up a significant fight, meaning that their first innings total was well below par and very difficult for the bowlers to defend.
Match impact vs recent form
This match score (0-100) vs their recent-form average over the card's look-back window.
Shah slows Hope just as GAW need momentum
At 76/2 in 9 overs, Guyana Amazon Warriors are chasing 128 and Hope’s rate against Shah drops to 112, below his 132 career mark.
Hope's strike rate · per 100 balls
Shah keeps Hope's batting strike rate below Hope's career mark.
Hasaranga has Hope tied down
Guyana Amazon Warriors are chasing 128 and sitting at 64/1 after 7 overs, but Hope’s strike rate of 70 against Hasaranga is well below his career 132. With 33 balls already in that matchup, St Kitts and Nevis Patriots have identified something that could get them back in the game.
Hope's strike rate · per 100 balls
Hasaranga keeps Hope's batting strike rate below Hope's career mark.
Holder struck for 26 as GAW sped past 46 without loss
Jason Holder’s over was hamered.. Guyana Amazon Warriors moved from 20/0 to 46/0 in Over 4, with a 6 and 3 fours in the burst. With only 128 to chase, they are well on top.
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
Gurbaz reaches 500 CPL runs
Gurbaz has ticked off 500 runs in his CPL career - he's on fire!
Holder has kept Gurbaz quieter
Guyana Amazon Warriors are chasing 128 and have started 7/0 in 1 overs, but Gurbaz’s strike rate is only 110 against Holder, well below his career batting SR of 149. That is a clear early handbrake on the chase and the Patriots will hope they can shut down the dangerous Gurbaz.
Gurbaz's strike rate · per 100 balls
Holder keeps Gurbaz's batting strike rate below Gurbaz's career mark.
Athanaze reaches 50 in a struggling Patriots innings
Alick Athanaze has brought up 50 from 36 balls, with 3 sixes and 2 fours, in a St Kitts and Nevis Patriots innings stuck at 126/9 after 18.4 overs. His 51 has been the standout in a side under pressure, and it is the kind of effort that at least gives this total some fight as the innings nears its close.
Patriots lose 3 wickets in 8 balls
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots slipped from 109/5 to 114/8 in 8 balls. Dasun Shanaka fell caught off Romario Shepherd, then Navin Bidaisee was bowled by Mohammad Nabi before Jeremiah Louis was caught off Nabi. Guyana Amazon Warriors seized the moment and left the Patriots struggling to get any runs on the board.
Tahir has Athanaze in a squeeze
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots are 47/3 after 7 overs, and Athanaze’s strike rate of 63 against Tahir sits well below his 116 career batting SR, which is already low. Guyana Amazon Warriors have tightened the screws at the right time. The Patriots need a lift soon or this innings stays stuck.
Athanaze's strike rate · per 100 balls
Tahir keeps Athanaze's batting strike rate below Athanaze's career mark.
Patriots lose 3 wickets in 10 balls
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots went from 34/0 to 39/3 in 10 balls, and the innings has been jolted hard. Kyle Mayers and Johnson Charles fell bowled by Romario Shepherd, and Andre Fletcher was caught by Hetmyer off the bowling of Shamar Joseph. Guyana Amazon Warriors have seized the moment, with these wickets putting them well on top.
Charles has a strong match-up against Shepherd
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots are 27/0 after 3 overs, and Charles has struck at 159 against Shepherd, well above his 135 career batting SR. If Charles keeps that edge, the Patriots can turn this strong start into a competitive total.
Charles's strike rate · per 100 balls
Shepherd keeps Charles's batting strike rate below Charles's career mark.
Mayers has found a better matchup
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots are 17/0 after 2 overs, and Mayers has struck at 157 against Pretorius in the past, well above his 135 career batting SR. Pretorius, however, has been on great form and will be looking to correct this record.
Mayers's strike rate · per 100 balls
Pretorius keeps Mayers's batting strike rate below Mayers's career mark.
Pierre gets the matchup he wants
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots are 7/0 after 1 overs, and Charles has crawled at 71 against Pierre compared with a career 135. That is why Guyana Amazon Warriors have moved quickly to the change, trying to keep the early tempo on a tight leash before this first-innings total can get away from them.
Charles's strike rate · per 100 balls
Pierre keeps Charles's batting strike rate below Charles's career mark.
Guyana’s middle order looks dangerous
Sampson’s strike rate of 191.94 in the middle overs and Hetmyer’s 173.92 give Guyana Amazon Warriors a very explosive phase. Gurbaz adds 144.67 at the top, while Fletcher’s 238.1 at the death keeps St Kitts and Nevis Patriots dangerous late. The matchup points to Guyana’s middle overs against a Patriots finisher who can flip the closing stretch, but Fletcher will likely have to stick around to make it to the end.
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
Pierre has Charles in a tight hold
Charles’s strike rate sits at 71 against Pierre, well below his 135 career batting SR. Across 58 balls, Pierre has clearly found a way to slow him down, and that kind of grip can shape a T20 matchup fast. If Charles cannot lift that tempo, Guyana Amazon Warriors will have a real edge over St Kitts and Nevis Patriots.
Charles's strike rate · per 100 balls
Pierre keeps Charles's batting strike rate below Charles's career mark.
Pierre has Holder’s number
Holder’s strike rate sits at 76 against Pierre, well below his 139 career batting SR. Pierre has kept the St Kitts and Nevis Patriots skipper in check and has been bowling very well of late so this will be one to keep an eye on.
Holder's strike rate · per 100 balls
Pierre keeps Holder's batting strike rate below Holder's career mark.
Hetmyer needs 15 to reach 2500 CPL runs
Hetmyer is just 15 short of 2500 CPL runs. His next scoring burst could land a number that carries real weight and his team will hope it is tonight.
Gurbaz is 20 away from 500
Guyana Amazon Warriors have Gurbaz sitting on 480 CPL runs, with only 20 needed to reach 500. He had a great night out in his last game scoring a quick half-century and will want to do the same again.
Shanaka and Tahir headline the GAW v SKNP watchlist
This one leans on two very different match-winners: Shanaka’s 329 runs in his last 10 games at a strike rate of 212 make him the Patriots’ sharpest batting threat, while Tahir’s 16 wickets at 6.86 give Guyana Amazon Warriors their tightest control point. Fletcher’s 314 runs and Hetmyer’s 266 at 185 add more firepower. With both sides carrying players in strong touch, the contest looks set to turn on who can land the bigger blow.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
GAW dominate this rivalry
Guyana Amazon Warriors arrive with 14 wins from 21 against St Kitts and Nevis Patriots. That advantage should come as little surprise due to the contrasting fates of these two franchises in their respective histories. But, the Patriots have won their last two games and look to have turned a corner, so they will be looking to continue that recent form against this year's tournament favourites.
Middle overs could be the difference
These two sides are incredibly closely matched in their run rates during both the powerplay and the death across their last 10 games. There is, however, separation in the middle overs, where the Warriors begin to increase the tempo from the powerplay, as opposed to the the Patriots whose scoring rate actually decreases after the opening phase. These middle overs could crucial today as the Patriots will have to improve their scoring intent to stay in touch with their opposition.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
A different Providence this year?
The average first innings score in Providence is 158. Anything over this par score has been defended 69% of the time. However, in the only game played at this ground so far in this competition, the 157 scored by the Jamaica Kingsmen was nowhere near enough to hold off the Warriors, who chased it down comfortably, only losing two wickets in the process. Perhaps that is a sign of things to come this year in Providence as the pitch looked far greener and less cracked than in previous years, so batters may be able to have a more enjoyable time this year.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Providence Stadium
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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