Phi Edge uses AI to predict who will win
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ABF won
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Match insights
Falcons ripped out the chase in four wickets
Guyana Amazon Warriors were 53/2 and then lost 4 wickets in 18 balls, tumbling to 81/6 across overs 5-8. Antigua & Barbuda Falcons seized the match there, turning a live chase into a scramble and leaving the pressure squarely on the Warriors, who were unable to deal with the fierce Falcons attack.
Falcons finish with a 52-run surge
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons turned 130/4 into 182/5 in overs 18-20, piling on 52 runs in 18 balls against Guyana Amazon Warriors. That late burst changed the shape of the innings and left the Warriors needing to score quickly right from the start of their chase. Again, a lot of these late runs were from the red-hot bat of Shadab Khan who has been consistently striking boundaries at the death this year.
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons win by 65 runs
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons set 182/5 at 9.1/over, then Guyana Amazon Warriors were pinned to 117 all out. The Falcons cleared the ropes 12 times and kept the dot-ball pressure lower at 38.3%. In an unexpected result, the Falcons had too much quality on the night for the home side and brushed them aside.
Guyana Amazon Warriors lose three in 10 balls
From 74/4 to 86/7 in 10 balls, Guyana Amazon Warriors handed Antigua & Barbuda Falcons the opening they needed. That burst has turned a workable position into a scramble, and now the Warriors are staring down the barrel of their first defeat of the season.
Joseph has Gurbaz in check
Guyana Amazon Warriors are chasing 182, and Alzarri Joseph has been brought on early to attempt to check the dangerous Gurbaz. His strike rate sits at 112 against Joseph, well below his 148 career batting SR. That kind of pressure can drag a chase off script fast.
Gurbaz's strike rate · per 100 balls
Joseph keeps Gurbaz's batting strike rate below Gurbaz's career mark.
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons cash in a big over
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons found the surge they needed in Over 19, turning 137/5 into 156/5 and giving their first innings real late muscle. Shamar Joseph conceded 19, with a four and a six in the over, and that lift can still make Guyana Amazon Warriors’ task a more difficult one.
This over · runs
Well clear of Antigua & Barbuda Falcons's current run rate.
Ali reaches 450 T20 sixes
Ali has moved from 449 to 451 career T20 sixes, passing the milestone of 450, with 2 sixes this match.
Nawaz slowed by Nabi at a key moment
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons are 88/2 in 11 overs, and Nabi has dragged Nawaz down to a strike rate of 100 against his career 141. GAW will hope their strike bowler can pin Nawaz back.
Nawaz's strike rate · per 100 balls
Nabi keeps Nawaz's batting strike rate below Nawaz's career mark.
Nabi has Lewis pinned down
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons are 33/1 after 4 overs, and Lewis has only struck at 44 against Nabi compared with a career 147. That kind of squeeze at the top is exactly what Guyana Amazon Warriors wanted when they turned to Nabi, and it has checked could early scoring without letting the innings get away.
Lewis's strike rate · per 100 balls
Nabi keeps Lewis's batting strike rate below Lewis's career mark.
Standout Big Hitters
Ali’s 202.5 at the death and Lewis’s 178.15 through the middle give Antigua and Barbuda Falcons a serious late surge, while Sampson’s 191.94 in the middle and Gurbaz’s 145.04 in the powerplay keep Guyana Amazon Warriors dangerous early.
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
Nabi has Ali well below his usual tempo
Ali’s strike rate against Nabi sits at 68, a long way under his 140 career batting SR. Across 34 balls, Nabi has kept Antigua and Barbuda Falcons’ Ali from getting away, and that kind of squeeze matter could matter in the middle overs. If Guyana Amazon Warriors land this matchup again, it could choke the batting rhythm.
Ali's strike rate · per 100 balls
Nabi keeps Ali's batting strike rate below Ali's career mark.
Pierre has Lewis in a tight grip
Lewis’s strike rate drops to 75 against Pierre, well below his 147 career batting SR. Across 24 balls, Pierre has forced Lewis far from his usual tempo, and that kind of squeeze can blunt Antigua and Barbuda Falcons before they get rolling against Guyana Amazon Warriors. Don't be surprised to see this matchup early.
Lewis's strike rate · per 100 balls
Pierre keeps Lewis's batting strike rate below Lewis's career mark.
Ali one six from 450
GAW v ABF arrives with Ali needing just 1 more six to reach 450 career T20 sixes. The Falcons' skipper will be hoping that is one of many tonight.
Hetmyer needs 14 to reach 2500 CPL runs
Shimron Hetmyer is on 2486 CPL runs and only 14 short of 2500. He has shown his power this tournament, and will be looking to go big again tonight.
Guyana Amazon Warriors stack their case with bat and ball
Nabi brings 16 wickets at 6.43 economy and an impact score of 95, while Hetmyer has 267 runs at a strike rate of 187. Tahir is close behind with 15 wickets, and Joseph’s 25 wickets give the Guyana Amazon Warriors real depth. That mix of control and firepower makes them hard to contain in this CPL meeting with ABF.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
GAW hold the edge in a one-sided rivalry
Guyana Amazon Warriors have taken 4 of the 5 meetings, with Antigua and Barbuda Falcons managing just 1. That tilt in the head-to-head makes this CPL clash feel like GAW’s to lose, even before the first ball. ABF need to break a pattern that has already leaned heavily one way.
Warriors bring more punch through the middle
Guyana Amazon Warriors have been running at 8.11 in the Powerplay, 8.69 in the middle and 10.75 at the death across their last 10, much quicker in all phases than Antigua and Barbuda Falcons at 7.46, 7.12 and 10.19. That edge in every phase suggests the Warriors are better placed to dominate with the bat and the Falcons will have to up their game to match the level of the tournament favourites.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
Providence hosts top-of-the-table clash
Providence Stadium has seen an average first innings score of 155, while scores of 156+ have been defended 65% of the time. Tonight, it will host a much anticipated battle between first and second in the current standings. A win tonight would take ABF into first place, although they have played significantly more games than GAW, and a win tonight for the Warriors would move them to 7 wins out of 7 and keep their perfect record intact. There have been some suggestions that the pitch at Providence has played slightly differently this year and, while it has only hosted two games and therefore is a very small sample size, both of those games have been won by the chasing side - this could be something to watch tonight.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Providence Stadium
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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