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TKR won
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Barbados Tridents were 18/0 and then lost 4 wickets in 18 balls, tumbling to 35/4 between overs 3 and 6. That collapse turned a chase into a scramble and handed Trinbago Knight Riders the decisive opening in the contest.
Trinbago Knight Riders made 147/6 count, and Barbados Tridents never got close to the 7.3 an over pace they were set. The difference was clear in the hitting: 10 sixes to 3, while Barbados Tridents were held to 112 all out. That left Trinbago Knight Riders in control of the contest and 35 runs clear at the finish.
Pooran’s 59 off 37 and Munro’s 38 off 32 gave Trinbago Knight Riders the decisive push, with impact scores of 98 and 85 underlining the damage. Pooran’s standout was +37 against a 10-match average impact of 60, while Munro added +20. Those two innings set the tone and left BT chasing the game on TKR’s terms.
Match impact vs recent form
This match score (0-100) vs their recent-form average over the card's look-back window.
Chasing 147, Barbados Tridents were stuck at 54/5 before Over 11 changed the mood fast. Tariq went for 19, with 1 six and 2 fours, and the surge lifted them to 73/5 after 11 overs. It gave the chase a pulse, but the Trinbago Knight Riders still have the scoreboard edge.
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
Barbados Tridents were 18/0 and then lost 3 wickets in 12 balls, slipping to 30/3 in 5 overs. Brandon King was caught off Narine, QDK fell lbw to Narine, and Rivaldo Clarke followed lbw to Narine. Sunil Narine has turned a steady start into a wobble, and Trinbago Knight Riders have seized the moment.
At the start of the defence, TKR need a good start and Narine has been the brake. King’s strike rate is 85 against Narine, well under his 133 career batting SR. For Trinbago Knight Riders, that is a tidy squeeze at the start of the innings.
King's strike rate · per 100 balls
Narine keeps King's batting strike rate below King's career mark.
From 122/3 to 127/6 in 7 balls, Trinbago Knight Riders lost 3 wickets and the innings lost its grip fast. Pollard went caught off Motie, Hales was stumped off Motie, and Goolie was bowled by Rahman. Barbados Tridents have turned a solid position into a scramble, and 17 overs in, the total now looks far lighter than it did.
Gudakesh Motie was taken for 18 in Over 14, with Trinbago Knight Riders turning 92/2 into 110/3 as three sixes flew off the over. It was a sharp swing in a first innings that now has TKR pushing on after a strong middle, while Barbados Tridents have seen one over change the feel of the contest.
This over · runs
Well clear of Trinbago Knight Riders's current run rate.
Nicholas Pooran has brought up 50 in 35 balls, with 6 sixes and 2 fours driving Trinbago Knight Riders to 104/2 in 13.3 overs. He is on 53 now, and that burst has given TKR a strong platform to set a total rather than scratch around for one.
At 92/2 after 12 overs, Trinbago Knight Riders are still setting a total, but Pollard’s 113 against Motie sits well below his 151 career batting SR. That gap matters in a first innings where every over counts, and Barbados Tridents have used Motie to slow the middle. If Pollard stays contained, the total loses momentum.
Pollard's strike rate · per 100 balls
Motie keeps Pollard's batting strike rate below Pollard's career mark.
Pooran has crossed 11500 runs in career T20 cricket, with 39 runs already in this match for Trinbago Knight Riders. It is a proper landmark in a live outing, and the milestone underlines how quickly he has kept the scoreboard moving for TKR.
Trinbago Knight Riders turned 53/1 into 72/1 in one burst, with Rahman conceding 19 in Over 9. Three sixes in six balls changed the feel of the innings fast, and with 9 overs gone they have the platform to push on from a strong first-innings base.
This over · runs
Well clear of Trinbago Knight Riders's current run rate.
Trinbago Knight Riders have already seen 5 sixes this match, and Pooran has now punched through to 800 career T20 sixes. It is a clean career milestone, giving TKR a timely spark as the innings unfolds.
Trinbago Knight Riders have moved from 36/1 to 53/1 in Over 8, and Pollard was in the middle of it with 17 runs off the over, including 2 sixes and a no-ball. That burst has lifted the tempo and put Barbados Tridents under pressure early, with TKR now setting rather than settling.
This over · runs
Well clear of Trinbago Knight Riders's current run rate.
Trinbago Knight Riders have Narine at 171 against Sams, well above his 151 career batting SR. With TKR 6/0 in 1 overs, the early signs are there that this opening spell could be expensive if Sams cannot drag that rate down quickly.
Narine's strike rate · per 100 balls
Sams keeps Narine's batting strike rate below Narine's career mark.
Trinbago Knight Riders bring the louder threat into this T20, with Pooran striking at 215.38 at the death and Narine at 182.05 in the Powerplay. Barbados Tridents have their own reply through de Kock at 170.03 in the middle and King at 154.8.
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
Nicholas Pooran’s strike rate drops to 72 against Green, a long way from his 149 career mark. For Trinbago Knight Riders, it flags a matchup that can blunt one of their most dangerous hitters if Green lands early pressure.
Pooran's strike rate · per 100 balls
Green keeps Pooran's batting strike rate below Pooran's career mark.
Munro’s strike rate sits at 85 against Rahman, a long way off his 140 career batting SR. If Rahman lands the same discipline again, he can keep Munro from getting away and tilt this BT v TKR contest before it finds its rhythm.
Munro's strike rate · per 100 balls
Rahman keeps Munro's batting strike rate below Munro's career mark.
Hales goes into BT v TKR on 47 CPL sixes, just 3 away from 50.
Trinbago Knight Riders have Narine sitting on 4991 career T20 runs, just 9 short of a major landmark.
Trinbago Knight Riders arrive with Pollard and Pooran both on impact score 91, and both have been striking at better than 165 in the last 10. Barbados Tridents will lean on Sams, whose 17 wickets and impact score 89 make him the clearest counter. Narine adds 12 wickets and an economy of 5.54, so this one looks set to hinge on whether TKR’s power can outlast that bowling pressure.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
Trinbago Knight Riders arrive with 18 wins from 29 against Barbados Tridents, while Barbados Tridents have 11, so the head to head advantage sits with TKR. In their meeting last week, TKR easily chased down a mediocre target, but with the Tridents starting their home leg of the tournament, could tonight's result be different?
Over 10 matches, Trinbago Knight Riders have set the early pace at 9.37 average run rate in the Powerplay, while Barbados Tridents sit at 7.75. But the late overs tilt the other way: Barbados Tridents lift to 11.47 at the death, ahead of Trinbago Knight Riders’ 9.82. That sets up a contest between Trinbago Knight Riders’ quick start and Barbados Tridents’ stronger finish.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
Tonight marks the first game of this year's CPL at Kensington Oval, where 168 is the average first-innings mark and 169 has been defended 69% of the time, so batting first is not a bad option. The Powerplay has been tidy at 8.13 runs per over before the Death jumps to 11.23, which means the finish can turn quickly. BT and TKR will know a solid total can still hold up.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Kensington Oval
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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