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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots were held to 118 all out, and that left Barbados Tridents in a dominant position at the halfway point and they ultimately won by 4 wickets. This loss confirmed that the Patriots would be absent from the playoffs for the 5th year in a row, with this year's low finish in the table largely a result of very poor early season form. For the Tridents, however, this win moves them closer to securing a playoff spot and they still have two games remaining, both of which are at home (as well as the potential knockouts they might play also all being in Barbados). So, the Tridents might just be coming good at the right time.
Quinton de Kock finished the game not out and led Barbados Tridents to victory, and one that significantly boosts their playoff bid. In doing so, he also returned to the top of the CPL run scorers list for the season and demonstrated how vital he has been for his team throughout. On the other side, Naseem Shah bowled fantastically for figures of 2/11 from his 4 overs, but his extremely economical spell was not enough to bail out the Patriots batting unit as this loss confirms their absence from the playoffs. Both landed an impact score of 84, with Shah’s +36 standout edging Kock’s +30.
Match impact vs recent form
This match score (0-100) vs their recent-form average over the card's look-back window.
Barbados Tridents took Hasaranga's over for 17, with a six and two fours turning. In a chase of 118, an over like that does huge amounts of damage. The over almost brought about a breakthrough, though, but Jeremiah Louis dropped a catch off the bat of Descarte on the final ball of the over.
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
Barbados Tridents are chasing 118 at 7/2 after 2 overs, but de Kock’s strike rate of 200 against Holder stands well above his career 141. That kind of mismatch at the top gives the Tridents' hope that they can recover from this difficult start.
Kock's strike rate · per 100 balls
Holder keeps Kock's batting strike rate below Kock's career mark.
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots got a lift from Motie’s over, with 16 coming off it, including 2 sixes, but they will need plenty more to help them out of the dire situation they find themselves in.
This over · runs
Well clear of St Kitts and Nevis Patriots's current run rate.
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots are 14/3 in 5 overs, and Athanaze has only struck at 88 against Motie, well below his career 116. That kind of squeeze at the top leaves the Patriots with little room to breathe, and Barbados Tridents have already forced the opposition onto the back foot.
Athanaze's strike rate · per 100 balls
Motie keeps Athanaze's batting strike rate below Athanaze's career mark.
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots have been blown apart at the start, losing 3 wickets for 6 in 15 balls. Johnson Charles and Andre Fletcher were both bowled by Green, while Kyle Mayers fell caught off Sams. With only 6 on the board after 3 overs, Barbados Tridents have seized the early grip. SKNP will need a lot from their middle order, especially their skipper, Holder, to even get them to a remotely competitive score.
Barbados Tridents have turned to Sams early with Mayers striking at only 87 against him, a clear drop from his 135 career batting SR. SKNP could be in early trouble!
Mayers's strike rate · per 100 balls
Sams keeps Mayers's batting strike rate below Mayers's career mark.
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots arrive with 13 wins from 22 against Barbados Tridents, who have 9, so the edge just about sits with SKNP. In their last meeting, SNKP chased down a whopping 217 set by the Tridents, so the Tridents will be coming into this one wondering what more they can do to outplay this opposition.
These sides are incredibly closely matched in their scoring across phases, with the Patriots marginally ahead in the later two phases. As expected, both sides score far more quickly at the death, so whoever manages to explode quicker or even earlier may be separate themselves from their opposition. But, don't be surprised to see an extremely close game and one that both sides are desperate to win.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
At Kensington Oval, 164 is the average first-innings mark and scores of 165+ have been defended 56% of the time. And, chases have been successful 55% of the time. So, based on past records this one shouldn't be too heavily influenced by the toss. Both batting units, as well as fans perhaps, will be very pleased to be watching this one in Barbados rather than Guyana, where scores have been low over the last two nights and batsmen have really struggled for rhythm; this one should be more free flowing.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Kensington Oval
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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