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BT won
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Barbados Tridents turned the first four overs into the match’s hinge, taking Guyana Amazon Warriors from 5/0 to 25/3 with 3 wickets in 18 balls. That collapse handed the Tridents control at the start of the innings, and the Warriors were left scrambling after losing three so quickly.
Barbados Tridents needed only 100/4 to finish the job after Guyana Amazon Warriors were bundled out for 99. It was a formality after the wickets the Tridents took and really would have taken an almighty choke for them to manage to lose the game after the excellence of their bowlers.
King’s 44 off 42 gave Barbados Tridents a steady base, but Linde’s 2 wickets for 13 changed the shape of the contest. His impact score of 83, up from a 58 average impact, underlined a decisive spell, while King’s 89 impact was well above his recent 44 mark. Barbados Tridents had the standout hands when it mattered most.
Match impact vs recent form
This match score (0-100) vs their recent-form average over the card's look-back window.
King has brought up a career T20 milestone with 23 runs in this match, moving from 4477 to 4500.
King’s strike rate against Tahir sits at 91, well below his 132 career mark, and that is a useful early squeeze with Barbados Tridents chasing 99 at 10/0 after 1 overs. Guyana Amazon Warriors have found a matchup that is slowing the opener’s tempo, and that kind of pressure can make a small target feel a little further away.
King's strike rate · per 100 balls
Tahir keeps King's batting strike rate below King's career mark.
From 15/0 to 15/3 in 4 balls, Guyana Amazon Warriors were rocked by AM Ghazanfar. Dindyal went stumped, then Hope and Phillips both fell caught off the same bowler, and Barbados Tridents suddenly had the innings on the ropes at Over 3.
de Kock brings a death-overs strike rate of 205.88 for Barbados Tridents, and Rutherford is up at 195.26 late on. Guyana Amazon Warriors have Sampson at 184.85 in the middle and Hetmyer at 172.91 there, which makes this a real contest between late surge and middle-overs punch.
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
Hetmyer’s strike rate against Green sits at 52, a long way from his 147 career batting SR. Over 62 balls, Green has clearly found the method to slow Guyana Amazon Warriors’ hitter, and that kind of hold can shape a T20 matchup before the innings as soon as the GAW star arrives at the crease.
Hetmyer's strike rate · per 100 balls
Green keeps Hetmyer's batting strike rate below Hetmyer's career mark.
A real trend here tonight with Green have a good record against the GAW batting lineup. Phillips has struck at 91 against Green, well below his 140 career batting SR. Across 57 balls, Green has taken pace out of a batter who usually scores faster, and that is a useful edge for Barbados Tridents. Guyana Amazon Warriors will know this matchup can blunt one of their more explosive options.
Phillips's strike rate · per 100 balls
Green keeps Phillips's batting strike rate below Phillips's career mark.
King goes into BT v GAW needing 23 more career T20 runs to reach 4500. For King, he will want to get this milestone out of the way before the more pressure packed cauldron of the playoffs and would love to find form before that stage.
Tahir arrives with 18 wickets at 5.97 in his last ten games and an impact score of 96, while Hetmyer’s 304 runs at a strike rate of 201 make Guyana Amazon Warriors dangerous with the bat as well. Barbados Tridents have de Kock on 381 runs at 156 and an impact score of 93, but Sampson’s 229 runs at 159 shows Guyana have another live bat. Given GAW's position at the top of the table and the quality they have shown so far this year, it is hardly surprising that they dominate the Players to Watch list tonight. BT's players will be trying to prove they should not have been left off the list.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
Guyana Amazon Warriors arrive with 20 wins from 29 against Barbados Tridents, who have 9. BT will need to flip a matchup that has leaned heavily one way, as they look for extra momentum going into their first playoff game against the Kingsmen.
Across 10 matches, Guyana Amazon Warriors have edged Barbados Tridents in every phase, from 7.98 in the Powerplay to 8.0 in the Middle and 11.13 at the Death. Barbados Tridents sit at 7.38, 7.2 and 10.34, which leaves them a touch behind their opponents.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
At Kensington Oval, 160 has been the average first-innings score across 30 matches, with 161+ being defended 53% of the time. Chasing has worked 62% of the time, including the last 3 games at the venue. For both of these teams, this game represents something of a free-hit as they have already confirmed their final place in the standings, with the Warriors guaranteed to finish 1st and the Tridents 3rd, but both will be looking for their key players to find some last minute form for extra confidence before the knockouts.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Kensington Oval
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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